So, which prediction do YOU believe?

Most Iraqis Remain Committed to Elections, Poll Finds

This was reported a week ago on page A13 of the Washington Post:

An overwhelming majority of Iraqis continue to say they intend to vote on Jan. 30 even as insurgents press attacks aimed at rendering the elections a failure, according to a new public opinion survey.

The poll, conducted in late December and early January for the International Republican Institute, found 80 percent of respondents saying they were likely to vote, a rate that has held roughly steady for months.

Or this, splashed across the front page of the MSNBC website today:

Iraqi president: Most Iraqis won't vote Sunday

On the eve of Iraq's first multi-party election for half a century, Iraq’s president said Saturday he expected that the majority of Iraqis would not vote in the poll, saying violence would keep them away from the ballot box.

“What we hope is that most Iraqis will take part in the election, but we know that the majority will not because of the security situation,” President Ghazi al-Yawar told reporters.

Stay tuned.....