On September 4, I posted the following thoughts...

I have a gut feeling about the death toll from Katrina which I hope is right. I believe that state officials are greatly exaggerating the numbers (up to 10,000 plus).....

I also imagine that the media was pretty much restricted to certain areas of New Orleans - a highway overpass, the Superdome, the Convention Center. They have no way of knowing what will be found in the rest of the city and theories like "dead people drowning in attics" has replaced actually fact-finding.

I bet (hope) the number turns up being less than a thousand (in New Orleans).
I have been vindicated! La. Search for Katrina Dead Ends at 964

There have been many reports in the last week or two about how the media hyped a lot of what happened in New Orleans. However, I would like to know if anyone made a prediction like mine as early as I did.

All this being said, it is an embarrassment that so many had to die and I hope that one of the first things the city does is establish a memorial as a reminder that it should never happen again.